Pakistan to be 5th largest nuclear state in 2025

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International nuclear weapons researchers have speculated Pakistan to be the fifth largest nuclear weapon state in 2025.

Pakistan has a nuclear weapons stockpile of 110 to 130 warheads, an increase from an estimated 90 to 110 warheads in 2011. The growth of atomic weapons by Pakistan has been anticipated it to become outstanding nuclear state in 10 years.

‘With several delivery systems in development, four operating plutonium production reactors, and uranium facilities, the country’s stockpile will likely increase over the next 10 years, but by how much will depend on many things. Two key factors will be how many nuclear-capable launchers Islamabad plans to deploy, and how much the Indian nuclear arsenal grows,’ said Hans M Kristensen and Robert S Norris in a research report published in an international research journal.

Based on Pakistan’s performance over the past 20 years and its current and anticipated weapons deployments, the authors estimate that its stockpile could realistically grow to 220 to 250 warheads by 2025, making it the world’s fifth largest nuclear weapon state.

They said Pakistan appears to have six types of currently operational nuclear-capable ballistic missiles, plus at least two more under-development: the short-range Shaheen-1A and medium-range Shaheen-3. Pakistan is also developing two new cruise missiles, the ground-launched Babur (Hatf-7) and the air-launched Ra’ad (Hatf-8).