SINGAPORE: Oil prices dipped in Asia Wednesday despite official China data showing factory activity expanded in May, as traders treaded cautiously before an OPEC meeting in Vienna this week.
Crude prices have rebounded from their January lows of under $30 and last week briefly pushed past $50 a barrel for the first time this year as the market gained support from production outages in Canada and Nigeria.
But prices have since retreated back below the key psychological level, and crude futures remain less than half of their 2014 peaks of over $100 amid a stubborn global supply glut.
Official data from China Wednesday showing factory activity expanded for the third straight month in May — a further sign of stabilisation in the world’s second largest economy — has so far not provided a significant boost, an analyst said.
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which tracks activities in the country’s factories and workshops, showed a reading of 50.1. Any reading above 50 signals expanding activity.
“The upshot is that while policy easing has clearly helped to stabilise growth in China this year, a significant rebound is proving elusive,” economist Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics wrote in a note.
“But the likelihood that growth could merely hold steady this year is rising”, he added.
At about 0345 GMT, US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI), for delivery in July, was down 31 cents at $48.79 a barrel. Brent North Sea crude for August, a new contract, was down 39 cents at $49.50.
IG Markets analyst Bernard Aw said traders are also reluctant to make any big moves ahead of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meeting in Vienna.
“(Traders) are just trying not to commit to any fresh positions because of the risk involved,” Aw told AFP.
The group convenes Thursday in the Austrian capital for its first meeting with Saudi Arabia’s new oil minister — a close ally of prince Mohammed bin Salman who has been outspoken about not reducing oil production to defend market share.
OPEC, which pumps around a third of the world’s oil or some 30 million barrels every day, has historically responded to a fall in prices by cutting production.
But in the current cycle producers led by kingpin Saudi Arabia have changed strategy, maintaining output even with lower prices in order to pressure US shale producers.
The recent recovery in prices has also eased pressure on the group to turn down the taps at this week’s scheduled output gathering, analysts say.
Aw added that there is little incentive to trade because of low expectations from the meeting.
Major OPEC player Iran has also indicated it is unwilling to cap production after the lifting of nuclear-linked Western sanctions in January.
